Publications  CURRENT CITATIONS = 17410  (22nd January 2019), h-index 55 (Web of Science)

 

1.      Sykes, M.T. & Wilson, J.B. 1987 The vegetation of a New Zealand dune slack.  Vegetatio 71, 13-19.

2.      Sykes, M.T. 1987 Sand dune vegetation of southern New Zealand. Ph.D Thesis, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand

3.      Sykes, M.T. & Wilson, J.B. 1988. An experimental investigation into the response of some New Zealand sand dune species to salt spray. Annals of Botany 62, 159-166.

4.      Wilson, J.B. & Sykes, M.T. 1988. Some tests for niche limitation by examination of species diversity in the Dunedin area, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Botany 26, 237-244.

5.      Sykes, M.T. & Wilson, J.B. 1989.The effect of salinity on the growth of some New Zealand dune species. Acta Botanica Neerlandica 38, 173-182.

6.      Sykes, M.T. &  Wilson, J.B. 1990. An experimental investigation into the response of New Zealand dune species to different depths of burial by sand. Acta Botanica Neerlandica 39, 171-181.

7.      Sykes, M.T. & Wilson, J.B. 1990. Dark tolerance in plants of dunes. Functional Ecology 4, 799-805.

8.      Wilson, J.B., Partridge, T.R. & Sykes, M.T. 1990. The use of Cole/Hulbert C8 association coefficient in inverse ecological classification. Journal of Vegetation Science 1, 367-374.

9.      King, W. McG., Wilson, J.B. & Sykes, M.T. 1990. A vegetation zonation from salt marsh to riverbank in New Zealand. Journal of Vegetation Science 1, 411-418.

10.  Sykes, M.T., Wilson, J.B., Lee, W. & Allen. R.B. 1991. A remnant New Zealand carr.  Journal of Vegetation Science 2, 209-216.

11.  Sykes, M.T. & Wilson, J.B. 1991 Vegetation of a coastal sand dune system in southern New Zealand. Journal of Vegetation Science 2, 531-538.

12.  Prentice, I.C., Sykes, M.T. & Cramer, W. 1991. The possible dynamic response of northern forests to global warming. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 1, 129-135.

13.  Wilson, J.B., Rapson, G.L., Sykes, M.T., Watcyn, A. & Williams, P.A. 1992, The distribution of 24 exotic species along roadsides in New Zealand. Journal of Biogeography 19, 183-193

14.  Prentice, I.C., Sykes, M.T. & Cramer, W. 1993. A simulation model for the transient effects of climatic change on forest landscapes. Ecological Modelling 65, 51-70

15.  Sykes, M.T. & Prentice, I.C. 1993  Modelling the responses of Nordic forests to climatic change. In Holtén, J.I., Paulsen, G & Oechel, W.C. Impacts of climatic change on natural ecosystems. Norwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA) Trondheim. 75-80.

16.  van der Maarel, E. & Sykes, M.T. 1993. Small-scale plant species turnover in grasslands: the carousel model and a new niche concept.  Journal of Vegetation Science 4,  179-188.

17.  Agnew, A.D.Q, Wilson, J.B. & Sykes, M.T. 1993. An example of a vegetation switch in New Zealand beech-podocarp peat temperate woodland. Journal of Vegetation Science 4,  273-278.

18.  Sykes, M.T. & van der Maarel E. 1993. Application of forest dynamics research in landscape planning and management. In Broekmeyer, M.E.A, Vos, W. & Koop, H. (eds) European Forest Reserves Proceedings European Forest Reserves workshop, PUDOC, Wageningen 267-272

19.  Prentice, I.C., Sykes, M.T., Lautenschlager, M., Harrison, S.P., Dennisenko, O. & Bartlein, P.J. 1993. Modelling global vegetation patterns and terrestrial carbon storage at the last glacial maximum. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 3 67-76

20.  Agnew, A.D.Q., Rapson, G.L., Sykes, M.T. & Wilson, J.B. 1993. The functional ecology of Empodisma minus  (Hook. f.) Johnson & Cutler in New Zealand ombrotrophic mires. New Phytologist 124, 703-710.

21.  Price, D.T., Apps, M.J., Kurz, W.A. Prentice, I.C. & Sykes, M.T.1993 Simulating the carbon budget of the Canadian boreal forest using an integrated suite of process-based models. In: Chhun-Huor Ung (ed.) Forest Growth Models and their Uses. Canadian Forest Service, 251-264.

22.  Sykes, M.T. 1994. Modelling the effects of climate change on forest diversity. In “BIO-konferansen 1994: Biodiversitetet og evolusjon Biolog 2-3, 17-24. Oslo, Norway.

23.  Sykes, M.T., van der Maarel E., Peet, R.K. & Willems, J. 1994. High species mobility in species-rich plant communities: an intercontinental comparison.  Folia Geobotanica & Phytotaxonomica 29, 439-448.

24.  Prentice, I.C. & Sykes, M.T. 1995. Vegetation geography and global carbon storage changes. In G.M. Woodwell & F.T. Mackenzie (eds.) Biotic Feedbacks in the Global Climatic System: Will the warming speed the warming? Oxford University Press, New York  pp 304-312

25.  Harrison, S.P., Kutzbach, J.E., Prentice, I.C. Behling, P. & Sykes, M.T. 1995 The response of northern hemisphere extratropical climate and vegetation to orbitally-induced changes in insolation during the last interglacial: results of atmospheric general circulation model and BIOME simulations.  Quaternary Research 43, 174-184.

26.  Sykes, M.T. & Prentice, I.C. 1995. Boreal forest futures: modelling the controls on tree species range limits and transient responses to climate change. Water, Air, Soil and Pollution  82, 415-428.

27.  Wilson, J.B., Sykes, M.T. & Peet, R.K. 1995. Time and space in the community structure of a species-rich limestone grassland. Journal of Vegetation Science 6, 729-740

28.  Wilson, J.B., Peet, R.K. & Sykes, M.T. 1995. What constitutes evidence of community structure ? A reply to van der Maarel, Noest & Palmer. Journal of Vegetation Science 6, 753-758

29.  Townsend, A., Sykes, M.T., Apps, M.J., Fung, I., Kellomäki, S, Martikainen, P.J., Rastetter, E.B., Stocks, B.J.. Volney, W.J.A & Zoltai, S.C. 1996 Natural and Anthropogenically-induced variations in terrestrial carbon balance. NATO ASI series vol I 40,  Springer-Verlag Berlin

30.  Sykes, M.T. & Prentice, I.C. 1996 Carbon storage and climate change in Swedish forests: A comparison of static and dynamic modelling approaches NATO ASI series vol I 40 Springer-Verlag  pp 69-78.

31.  Sykes, M.T., Prentice I.C. & Cramer W. 1996. A bioclimatic model for the potential distribution of northern European tree species under present and future climates. Journal of Biogeography 23, 203-233.

32.  Sykes, M.T. & Prentice, I.C. 1996. Climate change, tree species distributions and forest dynamics: a case study in the mixed conifers / northern hardwoods zone of northern Europe. Climatic Change 34, 161-177.

33.  Bugmann, H.K.M., Yan Xiaodong. Sykes, M.T., Martin, P., Linder, M., Desanker, P. & Cumming, S.G. 1996. A comparison of forest gap models: model structure and behaviour.   Climatic Change 34, 289-313.

34.  Wilson, J.B., King, W. McG., Sykes, M.T. & Partridge, T.R. 1996. Vegetation zonation as related to the salt tolerance of species of brackish riverbanks. Canadian Journal of Botany 74, 1079-1085.

35.  Sykes, M.T. 1997. The biogeographic consequences of forecast changes in the global environment: Individual species’ potential range changes. In  Past and future rapid environmental changes: The spatial and evolutionary responses of terrestrial biota. Eds. B. Huntley, W. Cramer, A.V. Morgan, H.C. Prentice & J.R.M. Allen  NATO ASI series Springer-Verlag, Berlin pp 427-440.

36.  van der Maarel, E. & Sykes, M.T. 1997. Rates of small-scale species mobility in alvar limestone grasslands. Journal of Vegetation Science 8, 199-208.

37.  Pitelka, L., Ash, J., Berry, S., Bradshaw, R.H.W., Brubaker, L.B., Clark, J., Davis, M.B., Dyer, J., Gardner, R., Gitay, H., Hengeveld, R., Hope, G. Huntley, B., King, G., Lavorel, S., Mack, R., Malanson, G., McGlone, M., Noble, I., Prentice, I.C., Reymanek, M., Solomon, A.M., Sugita, S. & Sykes M.T.  1997 Plant migration and climate change. American Scientist Sept-Oct  85.  463-473 (and erratum 85, 503)

38.  Sykes, M.T., Prentice, I.C. & Laarif, F.  1999  Quantifying the impact of global climate change on potential natural vegetation Climatic Change  41, 37-52

39.  Wilson, J.B. & Sykes, M.T. 1999. Is zonation on coastal sand dunes determined primarily by sand burial or by salt spray? A test in New Zealand dunes Ecology Letters  2, 233-236.

40.  Cowling, S.A. & Sykes, M.T. 1999. Physiological significance of low atmosphere CO2 for plant-climate interactions. Quaternary Research  52. 237-242

41.  Sala, O.E, Stuart Chapin III, F.,  Armesto, J.J., Berlow, E. Bloomfield, J. Davis, F., Dirzo, R., Froydis, I, Huber-Sanwald, E., Huenneke, L.F., Jackson, R., Kinzig, A., Leemans, R., Lodge, D., Malcolm, J., Mooney, H.A., Oesterheld, M., Poff, L, Sykes, M.T., Walker, B.H., Walker, M., Wall, D.  2000. Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100. Science 287. 1770-1774.

42.  Schimel, D., Mellilo, J., Tian, H., McGuire, A.D., Kicklighter, D., Kittel, D., Rosenbloom, N., Running, S., Thornton, P, Ojima, D., Parton, W., Kelly, R., Sykes, M.T., Neilson, R., Rizzo, B. 2000 The contribution of increasing CO2  and climate  to carbon storage by natural and agricultural ecosystems of the US 1980-1993. Science 287 2004-2006.

43.  Jackson, R.B., Schenk, H.J., Jobbagy, E.G., Canadell, J., Colello, G.D., Dickinson, R.E., Dunne, T., Field, C.B., Friedlingstein, P., Heimann, M., Hibbard, K., Kicklighter, D.W., Kleidon, A., Neilson, R.P., Parton, W.J., Parton, Sala, O.E. & Sykes, M.T.  2000. Belowground consequences of vegetation change their treatment in models. Ecological Applications 10 470-483.

44.  Cowling, S.A. & Sykes, M.T. 2000. Reply to Williams et al.: Do low CO2 concentrations affect pollen-based reconstruction of LGM climate. Quaternary Research, 53, 405-406.

45.  Bradshaw, R.H.W, Holmqvist, B., Cowling, S.A., & Sykes, M.T.  2000 The effects of climate change on the distribution and management of Picea abies in southern Scandinavia. Canadian J.  of Forest Research 30, 1992-1998

46.  Jian Ni, Sykes, M.T., Prentice, I.C., Cramer W. 2000. Modelling the vegetation of China using the process-based equilibrium terrestrial biosphere model BIOME3  Global Ecology and Biogeography 9, 463-480

47.  Engelmark, O., Sjöberg, K., Andersson, B., Rosvall, O., Ågren, G., Baker, W., Barklund, P., Björkman, C., Despain, D., Elfving, B., Ennos, R., Karlman, M., Knecht, M., Knight, D., Ledgard, N., Lindelöw, A., Nilsson, C., Peterken, G., Sörlin, S. & Sykes, M.T. 2001. Ecological effects and management aspects of an exotic tree species: the case of lodgepole pine in Sweden.  Forest Ecology and Management  141, 3-13.

48.  Sykes, M.T. 2001. Modelling the potential distribution and community dynamics of Lodgepole Pine (Pinus contorta Dougl. ex. Loud.) in Scandinavia. Forest Ecology and Management 141, 69-84

49.  Cowling, S.A., Sykes, M.T  & Bradshaw, R.H.W.  2001. Palaeovegetation-model comparisons: climate change and tree succession in Scandinavia over the past 1500 years.  Journal of Ecology  89, 227-236.

50.  Cowling, S.A. Maslin, M.A. & Sykes, M.T.  2001. Paleovegetation simulations of lowland Amazonia and implications for neotropical allopatry and speciation.  Quaternary Research 55, 140-149

51.  Sykes, M.T. & Haxeltine A. 2001   Modelling the response of vegetation and biodiversity to climate. In Future Scenarios of Global Biodiversity.(eds.) F.S. Chapin I, O. Sala  & Huber-Sannwald. Springer-Verlag, New York pp 5-22

52.  Smith, B. Prentice, I.C. & Sykes, M.T. 2001 Representation of vegetation dynamics in modelling of European ecosystems: comparison of two contrasting approaches.  Global Ecology and Biogeography  10, 621-638

53.  Sykes, M.T., Prentice, I.C. Smith, B, Cramer, W. &  Venevski, S. 2001 An introduction to the European Terrestrial Ecosystem Modelling Activity. Global Ecology and Biogeography 10,  581-594

54.  Harding, R., Kuhry, P, Christensen, T.R., Sykes, M.T. , Dankers, R & van der Linden, S. 2002.  Climate feedbacks at the tundra/taiga interface.  Ambio Special Report 12,  47-55.

55.  Bachelet, D., Neilson, R.P., Lenihan, J.M., Hickler, T., Sykes, M.T., Drapek, R.J., Smith, B., Sitch. S. & Thonicke K. 2003, Simulating past and future dynamics of natural ecosystems in the Unites States.  Global Biogeochemical Cycles 17 14-1 – 14-21

56.  Sitch, S., Smith, B., Prentice, I.C., Arneth, A., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Kaplan, J.O.,  Levis, S., Lucht, W., Sykes, M.T., Thonicke,K. &  Venevsky, S. 2003. Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ Dynamic Global vegetation model   Global Change Biology. 9:161-185

57.  Hickler, T., Smith, B., Sykes, M.T., Davis, M.B & Sugita, S. & Walker K.  2004. Predicting vegetation dynamics with a general process-based model in Western Great lakes Region USA:  Ecology 85: 519-530

58.  Fosaa, A.M., Sykes, M.T., Lawesson, J.E. & Gaard M. 2004  Potential effects of climate change on plant species in the Faroe Islands.   Global Ecology & Biogeography 13: 427-437

59.  Wilson, J.B., Agnew, A.D.Q. & Sykes, M.T. 2004. Ecology or mythology ? Are Whittaker’s “gradient analysis” curves reliable evidence for continuity in vegetation ? Preslia, Praha, 76: 245-223

60.  Gritti, E.S., Gachet, S., Sykes, M.T & Guiot, J. 2004 An extended probabilistic approach of plant vital attributes: an application to European pollen records at 0 & 6Ka.  Global Ecology & Biogeography 13, 519-533

61.  Kittel, T.G.F., N.A. Rosenbloom, J.A. Royle, C. Daly, W.P. Gibson, H.H. Fisher, P. Thornton, D. Yates, S. Aulenbach, C. Kaufman, R. McKeown, D. Bachelet, D.S. Schimel, and VEMAP2 Participants (Lund: Sykes M.T., Smith B., Cowling S. & Hickler T.).  2004.  The VEMAP Phase 2 bioclimatic database.  I:  A gridded historical (20th century) climate dataset for modelling ecosystem dynamics across the conterminous United States. Climate Research 27:151-170

62.  Walther, G-R, Berger, S. & Sykes,   M.T.  2005 An Ecological “footprint” of climate change. Proceedings Royal Society: B,  London  272, 1427-1432

63.  Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., Araứjo, M.B., Sykes, M.T. & Prentice, I.C. 2005 Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe. Proceedings National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)  102, 8245-8250

64.  Morales, P., Sykes, M.T., Prentice, I.C., Smith, P, Smith, B., Bugmann, H., B., Zierl, B., Friedlingstein, P.,  Viovy, N., Sabaté, S.,  Sánchez, A.,  Pla, E., Gracia, C.A., Sitch,  S., Arneth, A. &  Ogee, J. 2005 Comparing and evaluating process-based ecosystem model predictions of carbon and water fluxes in major European forest biomes  Global Change Biology 11, 1-23

65.  Settele, J. Hammen, V.,  Hulme. P, Karlson, U. Klotz, S., Kotarac, M. Kunin, W., Marion, G., O’Connor, M., Petanidou, M.,  Peterson, K., Potts, S., Pritchard, H., Pysek, P., Rounsevell, M., Spangenberg, J., Steffan-Dewenter, I., Sykes M.T., Vighi, M., Zobel M. & Kühn I. 2005  ALARM: Assessing large-scale environmental risks for biodiversity with tested methods.   Gaia – Perspectives in Science, Humanities and Economics  14,  69-72

66.  Hickler, T., Eklundh, L., Seaquist, J., Smith, B., Ardo, J., Olsson, L., Sykes, M.T. & Sjöström, M.  2005 Precipitation controls Sahel greening trend.  Geophysical Research Letters 32, L21415  1-4

67.  Schröter. D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I.C., Araújo, M.B., Arnell, N.G., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T. de la Vega-Leinert, A.C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J., Kankaapää, S., Klein, R.J.T., Metzger, M., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T., Lavorel, S., Linder, M., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabaté, S., Sánchez, A., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M.T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., Zaehle, S. & Zierl, B. 2005 Ecosystem service supply and human vulnerability to global change in Europe    Science  310, 1333-1337

68.  Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., Sykes, M.T. & Araứjo, M.B. 2006 Would climate change modify functional tree diversity in Europe?      Diversity & Distributions 12,  49-60

69.  Gritti, E., Smith, B. & Sykes, M.T. 2006 Vulnerability of Mediterranean basin ecosystems to climate change and invasion by exotic plant species   J. Biogeography  33,  145-157

70.  Hely-Alleaume, C., Brémond, L., Alleaume, S. Smith, B, Sykes, M.T., & Guiot, J. 2006  Sensitivity of African biomes to changes in the precipitation regime  Global Ecology & Biogeography 15, 258-270

71.  Ohlemüller, R., Gritti, E., Sykes, M.T. & Thomas, C.D. 2006  Towards European climate risk surfaces: the extent and distribution of analogous and non-analogous climates 1931-2100  Global Ecology & Biogeography  15, 395-405

72.  Koca, D., Smith, B. & Sykes, M.T. 2006   Modelling Regional climate change effects on Swedish ecosystems    Climatic Change 78,  381-406

73.  Ohlemüller, R., Gritti, E.S., Sykes, M.T. & Thomas C.D.  2006   Quantifying components of risk for European woody species under climate change Global Change Biology 12 1788-1799

74.  Heikkinen, R.K., Luoto, M., Araújo, Virkkala, R., Thuiller, W., & Sykes, M.T.  2006 Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic modelling under climate change    Progress in Physical Geography  30, 751-777

75.  Rapson, G.L., Sykes, M.T., Lee, W.G., Hewitt, A.E., Agnew, A.D.Q. & Wilson, J.B.  2006  Subalpine gully-head ribbon fens of the Lammerlaw and Lammermoor Ranges, Otago, New Zealand  New Zealand Journal of Botany 44, 351-375

76.  Hickler, T, IC Prentice, B Smith, M T Sykes, S Zaehle. 2006. Implementing plant hydraulic architecture within the LPJ Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. Global Ecology & Biogeography 15: 567-577.

77.  Gisecke, T., Hickler, T., Kunkel, T., Sykes, M.T. & Bradshaw, R.  2007 Towards an understanding of the Holocene distribution of   Fagus sylvatica (L)  J. Biogeography 34,  118-131

78.  Morales, P., Hickler, T., & Rowell, D., Smith, B, Sykes, M.T.  2007. Changes in European ecosystem productivity and carbon balance driven by regional  climate  model output  Global Change Biology 13, 108-122

79.  Prentice, I.C., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Harrsion, S.P., Hickler, T., Lucht, W., Sitch, S., Smith, Sykes, M.T. 2007.  Dynamic global vegetation modelling : quantifying terrestrial ecosystem responses to large-scale environmental change. In  Canadell JG, Pataki D,E. & Pitelka LF (eds).  Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. Chapter 15: 175-192. The IGBP Series. Springer-Verlag, Berlin.  323pp

80.  Olesen, J.E, Carter, T.R., Diaz-Ambrona, C.H., Fronzek. S., Heidmann, T., Hickler, T., Holt, T., Minguez, M.I., Morales, P., Palutikov, J., Quemada, M., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Rubaek, G., Sau, F., Smith, B & Sykes, M.T. 2007 Uncertainties in projected impacts of climate change on European agriculture and terrestrial ecosystems based on scenarios from regional climate models.   Climatic Change  81,  123-143.

81.  Zaehle, S., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Erhard, M., Prentice, I.C., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, P.C. & Sykes M.T.  2007. Projected changes in terrestrial carbon storage in Europe under climate and land-use change, 1990-2100. Ecosystems 10,  380-401

82.  Walther, G.R., Gritti, E., Berger, S., Hickler, T., Tang, Z. & Sykes M.T. 2007  Palms tracking climate change Global Ecology & Biogeography 16, 801-809.

83.  Prentice, H.C. &,  Jonsson, B.O, Sykes, M.T., Ihse, M. &  Kindström,  M. 2007  Plant Community composition and past land-use in fragmented grasslands on the Baltic island of Öland   Acta Phytogeographica Suecica  88 83-94

84.  Thuiller, W., Albert, C., Araújo, M.B., Berry, P.M., Cabeza M.,  Guisan, A., Hickler, T., Midgley, G.F., Paterson, J., Schurr, F.M., Sykes, M.T. & Zimmermann, N.E. 2008 Predicting global impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges  Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 9. 137-152.

85.  Johansson  L., Hall K., Prentice, H.C., Ihse, M., Reitalu, T., Sykes, M.T.  & Kindström, M.  2008  Semi-natural grassland continuity and long-term land-use changes, in a local agricultural landscape on Öland, Sweden  Landscape and Urban Planning  84. 200-211

86.  Hickler, T., Smith, B., Prentice, I.C., Mjöfors, K., Miller, P., Arneth, A &  Sykes, M.T.  2008  CO2 fertilization in temperate FACE forests not representative for global forests Global Change Biology 14.  1531-1542

87.  Miller, P.A., Giesecke, T., Hickler, T., Bradshaw, R.H.W., Smith, B., Seppa, H. & Sykes, M.T. 2008  Exploring climatic and biotic controls on Holocene vegetation change in Fennoscandia  Journal of Ecology 96. 247-259

88.  Reitalu, T., Prentice, H.C., Sykes, M.T., Lönn, M., Jönsson, L. & Hall, K. 2008 Plant species-segregation on different spatial scales in dry, semi-natural grasslands  J. Vegetation Science 19. 407-416

89.  Thomas, C.D., Ohlemüller, R., Anderson, B., Hickler, T., Miller, P.A., Sykes, M.T. & Williams, J.W.2008    Exporting the ecological impacts of climate change (subtitle: developed and developing countries will suffer the consequences of climate change, but differ in both their responsibility for climate change and how badly it will affect their ecosystems)  EMBO reports 9. special issue S1-S6.

90.  Rickebusch, S., Thuiller, W., Hickler, T., Araujo M.B., Sykes, M.T., Schweiger, O. & Lafourcade, B. 2008. Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models. Biology Letters, 4, 556-559

91.  Wramneby, A., Smith, B. Zaehle, S. & Sykes, M.T. 2008  Parameter uncertainties in the modelling of vegetation dynamics – effects on tree community structure and ecosystem functioning in European forest biomes Ecological Modelling 216, 277-290

92.  Kühn, I. Sykes, M.T., Berry, P.M., Thuiller, W., Piper, J.M., Nigmann, U., Araújo, M.B., Balletto, E., Bonelli, S., Cabeza, M., Guisan, A., Hickler, T., Klotz, S., Metzger, M., Midgley, G., Musche, M., Olofosson, J., Paterson, J.S., Penev, L., Rickebusch, S., Rounsevell, M.D.A.R., Schweiger, O., Wilson, E & Settele, J. 2008  MACIS: Minimisation of and adaptation to climate change impacts on biodiversity  GAIA 17, 393-395

93.  Sykes, M.T. 2009  Climate change impacts: vegetation.  In Encyclopedia of Life Sciences,  pp XX  Wiley, Chichester in press online 15th September 2009

94.  Luck , G.W., Harrington, R., Harrison, P.A., Kremen, C., Berry, P.M., Bugter, R., Dawson, T.P., de Bello, F., Dia, S., Feld, C.K., Haslett, J.R., Hering, D., Kontogianni, A., Lavorel, S., Rounsevell, M., Samways, M.J., Sandin, L., Settele, J., Sykes, M.T., Van de Hove, S., Vandewalle, M., & Zobel, M.  2009  Quantifying the contribution of organisms to the provision of ecosystem services.   Bioscience 59, 223-235

95.  Hickler, T., Fronzel, S., Araújo, M., Schweiger, O., Thuiller, W. & Sykes M.T. 2009 An ecosystem-model-based estimate of changes in water availability differs from water proxies that are commonly used in species distribution models Global Ecology & Biogeography  18, 304-313

96.  Walter, G-R., Roques, A., Hulme, P.E., Sykes, M.T., Pyšek, P., Kühn, I., Zobel, M., Bacher, S., Botta-Dukát, Z., Bugmann, H., Czúcz, Dauber, J., Hickler, T., Jarošik, Kenis, M., Klotz, S., Minchin, D., Moora, M., Nentwig, W., Ott, J., Panov, V.E., Reineking, B., Robinet, C., Semenchenko, V., Solarz, W., Thuiller, W., Vilà, M., Vohland, K. & Settele, J.  2009  Alien species in a warmer world – risks and opportunities Trends in Ecology and Evolution  12, 686-693.

97.  Reitalu, T., Sykes, M. T., Johansson, L. J., Lönn, M., Hall, K., Vandewalle, M. & Prentice, H. C. 2009  Small-scale plant species richness and evenness in semi-natural grasslands respond differently to habitat fragmentation  Biological Conservation  142, 899-908.

98.  Hall K.,  Johansson L.J.,  Sykes, M.T., Reitalu, T., Larsson, K.  &  Prentice, H.C. 2010  Inventorying management status and plant species richness in semi-natural grasslands using high spatial resolution imagery Applied Vegetation Science   13, 221-233

99.  Rammig, A., Jönsson, A.M., Hickler, T., Smith, B., Bärring, L. & Sykes, M.T  2010. Impacts of changing frost regimes on Swedish forests: incorporating cold hardiness in a regional ecosystem model   Ecological Modelling 221, 303-313

100.          Schweiger, O., Biesmeijer, J.C., Bommarco, R., Hickler, T., Hulme, P.E., Klotz, S., Kühn, I. Moora, M., Nielsen, A., Ohlemüller, R., Petanidou, T., Potts, S.G., Pyšek, P., Stout, J.C., Sykes, M.T. Tscheulin, T., Vila, M., Walther, G-R., Westphal, C., Winter, M., Zobel, M. & Settele, J.   2010.  Multiple stressors on biotic interactions: how climate change and alien species interact to affect pollination. Biological Reviews  Article first published online : 23 FEB 2010, DOI: 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2010.00125.x

101.          Garreta,V., Miller, P.A., Guiot, J., Hély, C., Brewer, S., Sykes, M.T. & Litt, T.  2010  A method for climate and vegetation reconstruction through the inversion of a dynamic vegetation model.  Climate Dynamics 35, 371-389

102.          Harrison, P.A., Vandewaller, M., Sykes, M.T., Berry, P.M., Bugter, R., de Bello, F., Feld, C.K., Grandin, U., Harrington, R., Haslett, J.R., Jongman, R.H.G., Luck, G.W., Martins da Silva, P., Moora, M., Settele, J., Sousa, J.P. & Zobel, M. 2010  Identifying and prioritising services in European terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems. Biodiversity and Conservation 19, 2791-2821

103.          Vandewalle, M. De Bello, F, Feld, C.K., Lavorel, S., Martins da Silva, P., Moretti, M., Sousa, J.P., Sattler, T., Sykes, M.T. Vanbergen, A.J.  2010. Functional traits as indicators for monitoring biodiversity response to land use changes across ecosystems and taxa.   Biodiversity and Conservation  19, 2921-2947

104.          Anton, C., Young, J., Harrison, P.A., Musche, M: Feld, C.K., Harrington, R., Haslett, J.R., Pataki, G., Rounsevell, M.D.A., Sousa, J.P., Sykes, M.T., Vandewalle, M. Watt, A. & Settele, J.  2010  Research needs for incorporating the ecosystem service approach into EU biodiversity conservation policy. Biodiversity and Conservation 19, 2979-2994

105.          Kramer,K., Degen, B.,  Buschbom. J.,  Hickler, T.,  Thuiller, W.,  Sykes, M.T. and  de Winter, W. 2010 Modelling exploration of  the future of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) under climate change – range, abundance, genetic diversity and adaptive response  Forest Ecology & Management   259, 2213-2222

106.          Drobyshev, I., Övergaard, R., Saygin, I., Niklasson, M., Hickler, T., Karlsson, M. & Sykes, M.T.  2010 Masting behaviour and dendrochronology of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) in southern Sweden.  Forest Ecology and Management 259,  2160-2171

107.          Giesecke, T., Miller, P.A., Sykes, M.T., Ojala, A.E., Seppa, H. & Bradshaw, R.  2010 The effect of past changes in inter-annual temperature variability on tree distribution limits.   J Biogeography 37, 1394-1405

108.          Allen J.R.M.,  Hickler, T., Singarayer, J.S., Sykes, M.T., Valdes, P.J. & Huntley, B. 2010  Last glacial vegetation of northern Eurasia.  Quaternary Science Reviews 29, 2604-2

109.          Henle K , Kunin W , Schweiger O , Schmeller DS , Grobelnik V., Matsinos Y, Pantis J , Penev L, Potts SG , Ring I, Simila J , Tzanopoulos J , van den Hove S , Baguette M , Clobert J, Excoffier L , Framstad E, Grodzinska-Jurczak M, Lengyel S, Marty P, Moilanen A , Porcher E , Storch D , Steffan-Dewenter I , Sykes MT, Zobel M , Settele J. 2010. Securing the Conservation of Biodiversity across Administrative Levels and Spatial, Temporal, and Ecological Scales Research Needs and Approaches of the SCALES Project. GAIA-ECOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES FOR SCIENCE AND SOCIETY   19,  187-193

110.          Reitalu, T., Johansson, L.J., Sykes, M.T., Hall, K. & Prentice,  H.C. 2010  History matters: village distances, grazing and grassland species diversity  J. Applied Ecology . 47, 1216–1224

111.          Settele, J., Carter, T. R., Kühn, I., Spangenberg, J.H. & Sykes, M. T. 2012  Editorial: Scenarios as a tool for large-scale ecological research – experiences and legacy of the ALARM project. Global Ecology &  Biogeography, 21. 1-4.

112.          Spangenberg, J.H., Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S., Jaeger, J., Jylhä, K., Kühn, I., Omann, I., Paul, A., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Schweiger, O., Stocker, A., Sykes, M. T. & Settele, J.  2012 Scenarios for investigating risks to biodiversity. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 21,  5-18

113.          Hickler, T., Vohland, K., Feehan, J., Miller, P. A., Smith, B., Costa, L., Giesecke, T., Fronzek, S., Carter T. R., Cramer, W., Kühn, I. & Sykes M. T. 2012 Projecting the future distribution of European potential natural vegetation with a generalized, tree species-based dynamic vegetation mode. Global Ecology & Biogeography,  21, 50-63

114.          Reitalu, T., Purschke, O., Johansson, L.J., Hall, K., Sykes, M.T. & Prentice, H.C. 2012. Responses of grassland species richness to local and landscape factors depend on spatial scale and habitat specialisation Journal of Vegetation Science, 23 , 41-51.

115.          Hall, K., Reitalu, T., Sykes, M.T. & Prentice, H.C. 2012. Spectral heterogeneity of QuickBird satellite data is related to fine-scale plant species spatial turnover in semi-natural grasslands Applied Vegetation Science, 15, 145-157.

116.          Purschke, O., Sykes, M.T., Reitalu, T., Poschlod, P. & Prentice, H.C. 2012. Linking landscape history and dispersal traits in grassland plant communities. Oecologia, 168, 773–783

117.          Zhenlin Y.,  Sykes, M.T., Hanna,  E., Callaghan, T.V.  2012  itle: Linking Fine-Scale Sub-Arctic Vegetation Distribution in Complex Topography with Surface-Air-Temperature Modelled at 50-m Resolution   AMBIO 292-302.

118.          Purschke, O., Schmid, B.C., Sykes, M.T., Poschlod, P., Michalski, S., Durka, W., Kühn, I., Winter, M. & Prentice, H.C. 2013 Contrasting changes in taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional diversity during secondary grassland succession. Journal of Ecology 101 857-866.

119.          Huntley, B., Allen, J.R.M.,, Collingham, Y.C., Hickler, T., Lister, A.M., Singarayer, J., Stuart, A.J., Sykes, M.T., Valdes, P.J. 2013  Millennial Climatic Fluctuations Are Key to the Structure of Last Glacial Ecosystems  PLOS one, 8:4  DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0061963

120.          Fang, K., Morris, J.L., Morris, J., Sakari, S., Miller, P.A., Renssen, H., Sykes M.T. & Seppa, H. 2013. How robust are Holocene treeline simulations? A model–data comparison in the European Arctic treeline region. Journal of Quaternary Science  9999  1-10.

121.          Molinari, C., Lehsten, V., Bradshaw, R.H.W., Power, M.J., Harmand, P., Arneth, A., Kaplan, J.O., Vannière, B. & Sykes M.T.  2013 Exploring potential drivers of European biomass burning over the Holocene: a data-model analysis.  Global Ecology & Biogeography  22, 1248-1260.

122.          De Bello, F., Vandewalle, M., Reitalu, T., Leps, J., Prentice, H.C., Lavorel, S. & Sykes M.T.  2013 Evidence for scale- and disturbance-dependent trait assembly patterns in dry semi-natural grasslands Journal of Ecology 101, 1237-1244

123.          Vandewalle, M., Purschke, O., de Bello, F., Prentice, H.C., Lavorel, S., Reitalu, T., Johansson, L.J. & Sykes, M.T.  2014 Functional responses of plant communities to management, landscape and historical factors in semi-natural grasslands Journal Vegetation Science  25, 750-759.

124.          Lehsten, D., Dullinger, S., Hulber, K., Schurgers, G., Cheddadi, R., Laborde, H., Lehsten, V., Francois, L., Drury, M. & Sykes M.T.  2014. Modelling the Holocene dynamics of  Fagus sylvatica, L. and Picea abies L. (H.Karst). Global Ecology & Biogeography 23, 658-668.

125.          Purschke, O., Sykes, M.T., Poschlod, P.,  Michalski, S.G., Romermann, C., Durka, W., Kuhn, I. & Prentice, H.C. 2014 Interactive effects of landscape history and current management on dispersal trait diversity in grassland plant communities. Journal of Ecology 102, 437-446.

126.          Le Bagousse-Pinguet, Y., de Bello, F., Vanderwalle, M., Leps, J. & Sykes, M.T. 2014 Species richness of limestone grasslands increases with trait overlap: evidence from within- and between-species functional diversity partitioning. Journal of Ecology  102, 466-47

127.          Sallaba, F., Lehsten, D., Seaquist, J. & Sykes, M.T. 2015 A rapid NPP meta-model for current and future climate climate and CO2 scenarios is Europe.  Ecological Modelling, 302, 29-41.

128.          Lehsten, V, Sykes, M.T. et al. 2015 Disentangling the effects of land-use change, climate and CO2 on projected future European habitat types. Global Ecology & Biogeography 24, 653-663.

129.          Siefert, A.,( et al. Sykes M.T.); 2015 A global meta-analysis of the relative extent of intraspecific trait variation in plant communities.  Ecology Letters 18, 1406-1419.

130.          Davis, TW; (et al. Sykes M.T.) 2017 Simple process-led algorithms for simulating habitats (SPLASH v.1.0): robust indices of radiation, evapotranspiration and plant-available moisture.  Geoscientific model development 10, 689-708

131.          Dengler, J (et al.  Sykes M.T.) 2018 GrassPlot - a database of multi-scale plant diversity in Palaearctic grasslands. Phytocoenologia, 48, 331-347

 

 

Reports, extended abstracts, book reviews, minor publications etc.

1.      Sykes, M.T. Workshop chairman: "Modelling biological effects of climate change" Trondheim, 27-29 November 1990. Published in Recommendations: Norwegian Institute for Nature Research and Directorate for Nature Management 1991. pp  15-19.

2.      Sykes, M.T., Prentice, I.C., & Cramer, W. 1992. Extended abstract: "Simulation of transient responses to climate change in forested landscapes".. 1st  European Symposium on terrestrial ecosystems. Florence, Italy  20-24 May 1991. Published in: Response of Forest Ecosystems to Environmental Changes, (eds: A. Teller, P. Mathy, J.N.R. Jeffers) Elsevier pp. 932-933

3.      Spada, F. & Sykes, M.T.1992. Extended abstract: "Simulation of the silvigenetic processes in submediterranean forest communities in peninsula Italy". 1st European Symposium on terrestrial ecosystems. Florence, Italy 20-24 May 1991.Published in: Response of Forest Ecosystems to Environmental Changes, (eds: A. Teller, P. Mathy, J.N.R. Jeffers) Elsevier pp. 934-935

4.      Diekmann, M., Sjögren, E. & Sykes, M.T. (Eds.) 1992 Research in Progress 1989-1992. Växtbiologiska Institutionen, Uppsala University. Uppsala..

5.      Diekmann, M., Weih, M. & Sykes, M.T.. (Eds) 1994 Aotearoa The coming of the Vikings Uppsala- Lund New Zealand Excursion November/December 1993. Meddelanden Växtbiologiska Institutionen Uppsala University, Uppsala.

6.      Sykes, M.T. 1998 Review of Smith, T.M., Shugart, H.H. & Woodward, F.I. Plant functional types: their relevance to ecosystem properties and global change in Annals of Botany

7.      Contributor to “Ecosystem Research and the European Union Environment policy needs”. Report of the Terrestrial Ecosystems Research Initiative (TERI) concerted action Workshop. Universidad de Castilla-La-Manche, Toledo, Spain 28 April – 1 May 1998.  Eds Lawton, J.H., Moreno, J.M. & Struwe, S.

8.      Sykes, M.T. 1999 Review of Shugart H.H. "Terrestrial Ecosystems in Changing Environments"..Journal of Vegetation Science 10 138-139.

9.      Fosaa, A.M., Lawesson, J.E. & Sykes, M.T. 1999  Saussurea alpina (L.) DC. subsp. alpina (Asteraceae) – Alpine Saw-wort-  A new record from the Faroe Islands.  Fródskaparrit 47, 153-157

10.  Sykes, M.T & Prentice, I.C. 1999  Modelling the response of Swedish forests to climate change.  Report 5029, – Swedish Environmental Protection Agency  pp 42.

11.  Terrestrial Ecosystem Research in Europe: Successes, challenges and policy. 2000.  Edited by. Sutton, M.A., Moreno, J.M. van der Putten, W.H. & Struwe, S. Contributions to TERICA Working Group 3 UK, Alien Species and Outbreaking species in Ecosystems;  TERICA Working Group 7, Germany: Understanding Ecosystems at the Landscape Scale;  Final TERICA conference The Netherlands. ETEMA extended abstract pp 176-181.  Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg.

12.   Sykes M.T. 2002 Review of  Georgantzis, N. & Barreda Tarrazona, I.J. (eds) Spatial economics and ecosystems. Journal of Vegetation Science 13, 292-293.

13.  Harrison, P.A., Luck, G.W., Feld, C.K.  and  Sykes M.T. 2010  Assessment of ecosystem services.  In J. Settele, L. Penev, T. Georgiev, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnik, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, and I. Kühn, editors. Atlas of Biodiversity Risks - from Europe to the globe, from stories to maps. P8-9,  Pensoft, Sofia - Moscow 

14.  Spangenberg, J.H., Fronzek, S., Hammen, V., Hickler, T., Jager, J., Jylha, K., Kuhn, I., Marion, G., Maxim, l., Monterroso, I., O’Connor, M., Omann, IK., Reginster, I., Rodriguez-Labajos, B., Rounsevell, M., Sykes, M.T., Vighi, M. & Settele, J.  2010. The ALARM Scenarios: Storylines and simulations for assessing biodiversity risks in Europe. In J. Settele, L. Penev, T. Georgiev, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnik, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, and I. Kühn, editors. Atlas of Biodiversity Risks - from Europe to the globe, from stories to maps  P10-15,  Pensoft  Sofia-Moscow

15.  Sykes, M.T. & Hickler, T. 2010 Climate change, species and ecosystems.  In J. Settele, L. Penev, T. Georgiev, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnik, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, and I. Kühn, editors. Atlas of Biodiversity Risks - from Europe to the globe, from stories to maps. p64-65  Pensoft, Sofia- Moscow 

16.  Zaunberger, K.  & Sykes, M.T. 2010  Climate change, Ecosystem services and biodiversity – risks and opportunities

In J. Settele, L. Penev, T. Georgiev, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnik, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, and I. Kühn, editors. Atlas of Biodiversity Risks - from Europe to the globe, from stories to maps. P96  Pensoft, Sofia- Moscow 

17.  Sykes, M.T., Hickler, T & Settele, J. 2010  Aspects of the future of biodiversity and biodiversity research. In J. Settele, L. Penev, T. Georgiev, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnik, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, and I. Kühn, editors. Atlas of Biodiversity Risks - from Europe to the globe, from stories to maps. P232-233 Pensoft, Sofia- Moscow 

18.  Hickler, T., Vohland, K., Costa, L., Miller, P.A., Smith, B., Feehan, J., Kühn, I., Cramer, W., and Sykes, M.T. 2010. Vegetation on the move - where do conservation strategies have to be re-defined. In J. Settele, L. Penev, T. Georgiev, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnik, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, and I. Kühn, editors. Atlas of Biodiversity Risks - from Europe to the globe, from stories to maps. P238-239  Pensoft, Sofia & Moscow.

 

Book

19.  Bradshaw, R.H.W. & Sykes M.T.  May 2014  Ecosystem Dynamics: From the past to the future.   Wileys 2014  300 pages 

 

Swedish

1.      Sykes, M.T. 2009  Frontiers in biodiversity research. Klimat, insekter och brander  Miljöforskning page 33 2/ 2009 

2.      Sykes, M.T. 2010  Sverige i nytt klimat – våtvarm utmaning – Kommer svensken att känna igen sin natur?  FORMAS Fokuserar 16, FORMAS  Sweden