LPJ-GUESS processes and components
- Smith et al. (2001). Contains the original description of LPJ-GUESS (referred to as GUESS in the paper). Equations are shown in the online appendix.
- Hickler et al. (2004) expand on the vegetation dynamics approach in cohort mode and the parameterisation of tree species differing in life history attributes such as shade-tolerance.
- Photosynthesis, stomatal conductance and evapotranspiration follow the approach of the BIOME3 model, described in Haxeltine & Prentice (1996).
- Plant growth and allocation, and vegetation dynamics in population mode, follow the approach of LPJ, described in Sitch et al. (2003).
- Hydrology follows the approach implemented by Gerten et al. (2004) in LPJ.
- Thonicke et al. (2001) describe the wildfire disturbance model incorporated within LPJ-GUESS.
- Hickler et al. (2012) provide (in Appendix S2) the rationale for a number of revised PFT parameter values in the model.
- Smith et al. (2014) (open-access) describe the implementation of N cycling, C-N interactions, soil organic matter dynamics based on the CENTURY model and other updates in LPJ-GUESS Version 3.0. The appendix provides a fairly comprehensive overview of the whole model.
Evaluation and benchmarking
- Piao et al. (2013) evaluate vegetation productivity and ecosystem carbon balance simulated by 10 global models, including LPJ-GUESS, in comparison to upscaled flux measurements and results from ecosystem warming experiments.
- Murray-Tortarolo et al. (2013) (open-access) compare leaf area index patterns from eight models, including LPJ-GUESS, with satellite observations.
- Tang et al. (2012) compare simulated forest type distributions in northeastern USA with actual land cover and examine the sensitivities of each forest type to temperature and precipitation change.
- Zaehle et al. (2014) (open-access) compare responses to elevated CO2 simulated by 11 models, including LPJ-GUESS, with measurements from free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments in temperate forest.
- Ahlstöm et al. (2012) attribute interannual variation in terrestrial ecosystem carbon balance, reflected in atmospheric measurements, to drivers and global regions.
Impact and process studies
- Ahlström et al. (2012) (open-access) project and attribute impacts of IPCC-AR5 future climate projections on regional and global ecosystem carbon balance.
- Hickler et al. (2008) predict the impact of elevated CO2 treatment, implemented experimentally in temperate forest FACE experiments, to boreal and tropical forests.
- Wramneby et al. (2010) quantify vegetation-mediated biogeophysical feedbacks to climate in a future forcing scenario for Europe.
- Parmentier et al. (2013) predict impacts of reduced sea ice extent on methane emissions from Arctic ecosystems.
- Jönsson et al. (2013) assess consequences of alternative management strategies for production, damage and economic returns from forestry under climate change.
Further reading
A periodically-updated publication list for LPJ-GUESS is available here.
A slightly outdated, popular science-style introduction to LPJ-GUESS elements and concepts is available here.